L.A. County would be in purple tier under California COVID blueprint
The coronavirus resurgence — largely among the unvaccinated — is so bad that 17 counties would be in the most restrictive tier if the state were still following its reopening plan.
Everyone is so clouded by the Delta variant craze that they are missing the most obvious situation we are in. The first major holiday since lockdown was 4th of July and millions of people took it as a time to celebrate maskless, with it without the vaccine, and in the middle of the most contagious variant we have seen to date.
People are losing their minds at the rate of these numbers but instead we should be extremely satisfied how low they actually are. Can you imagine the numbers we would have seen last July if we had a similar maskless county wide party?
As we move further from the 4th we will see these numbers drop again but we should actually celebrate how resilient we now are to the virus as a whole and stop freaking out when the cases fluctuate up and down.
We will not see a steady hold on low case rates until we hit the 80% full inoculation rate. Which, nobody is mentioning is on pace to happen in December according to this data: http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/media/coronavirus/vaccine/vaccine-dashboard.htm
Until then, assume that going from full lock down to a return to normal will OF COURSE increase numbers but the important part of our recovery is that they are manageable. The vast majority of cases are capable, full grown adults making a decision to take the risk of getting the virus over whatever concerns they may have of the vaccine.
People are empowered to make this bad decision and deal with the consequences. We should in turn adjust our expectations of the totals number of cases we will see with that basic freedom allowed and move on with our lives.
Misinformation: that's based on positive tests. Deaths and hospitalizations are a minimal fraction of what it was last year --and those that are, all are unvaccinated. This is fear mongering.
As we know England is having a case surge for a while now. And this is the data collected from Feb to Jun. This is official published data from Public Health England.
Out of 92029 people positive with Delta variant (Regardless of vaccination status), 0% people (8) under 50 died. 1.1% over 50 died.
Let's look at how this plays out as far as hospitalization and deaths, it may be time to change the rules when it comes to cases.
Regardless, if you can, get vaccinated.
The tier system is based entirely on case rate. That's dumb -- it should be based on hospitalizations and deaths.
Deaths and hospitalizations per case are far lower now than they used to be for a number of reasons: vulnerable people have been vaccinated at a very high rate, and doctors are much more knowledgeable and experienced in treating the virus. New, effective treatments such as monoclonal antibodies are more widely available.
Tired of the fear mongering headlines.
Fuck unvaccinated adults who chose not to get vaccinated. I understand it’s their choice but they should stay home. I’m 100% for vaccine passports.
10 cases per 100k is 0.01% the expectations here are ridiculous.
So what you're saying that the June 15th "grand re-opening" was bullshit, disconnected from reality?
We knew that.
That’s why this tire-based blueprint was removed because its total BS.
What is going on with LA county? I'm in Austin and we are seeing a dramatic jump. They are forecasting stage 4 here. I think it's the same everywhere in bigger cities, especially. The July 4th holiday has the most to do with it, I believe at least. We've had jumps during major holidays and this one was the first free for all. To note, Austin has the same vaccination rates as LA counties does. It needs to go beyond 60 percent. I wish you guys had a u/rationalanarchy on your team to inform people as we do. I thought we would be doing a lot better by now.
(I'm on this sub as an ex LA resident if anyone is curious though from Austin)
gov @GavinNewsom would never reinstitute the covid tier system, no matter how many lives it would save. he's terrified of getting recalled.
get ready LA, we're headed for another lockdown very soon... https://t.co/qUIlSpEVYy
Guessing the numbers will skyrocket again in September with the one-two punch of labor day and colleges reopening. My campus will be not be requiring masks or social distancing. They do require a vax or weekly testing, but it sounds like they haven't quite figured out how to enforce the testing aspect, so.
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